| 
     | 
    Out of Control:
    The New Biology of Machines, 
    Social Systems and the Economic World 
    By Kevin Kelly  
    Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA, 1994 
    ABSTRACT - This
    ground-breaking, insightful work pulls important new pattern-building findings from fields
    as diverse as computer science, biology, physics, and economics, relates them to the new
    worlds of complexity, chaos theory, and post-Darwin evolution and lays out the
    implications for creating complex organizations and systems of all types. Many of his
    findings are contrary to management traditions and practices. 
     
     
    
      
        Key Points: 
        
          As organizations become more
            complex and the need for adaptability increases, leaders will need to adopt lessons from
            natures complex systems (such as the critical role of variation and imperfections),
            which, in many cases, suggest non-traditional approaches to leadership and organization
            building. 
           
         
        
          Complex systems (organizations)
            need to be built up incrementally from simple systems which work. 
           
         
        
          Suggests that co-evolution,
            collaboration among organizations is a better strategy for insuring long-term
            survivability and stability than competition 
           
         
        
          Provides guidance to
            organizations from natures complex systems: distributed; decentralized;
            collaborative; adaptive. 
           
         
        
          Learn and follow the principles
            of evolution, like punctuated equilibrium, instead of trying to engineer the development
            of complex organizations. 
           
         
        
          The powerful link between
            learning and successful evolution is stressed 
           
         
        
          Complex systems have the power to
            make large scale change through large, rather than incremental shifts. 
           
         
        
          There is a desired number of
            connections among components of a system. This helps an organization live on the edge
            between chaos and stability and thus insure is survivability. 
           
         
        
          Makes a case for growth as
            natural law - presents seven trends underlying this organic evolution. 
           
         
        
          Despite the complexity of
            systems, certain types of prediction are possible. This, along with organizational
            flexibility achieved though decentralization and redundancy, foster successful adaptation. 
           
         
        
          Summarizes principle ideas from
            the book which apply to the creation of complex organizations 
             
             
           
         
         | 
       
     
    
      
        | Hive Mind Key
        Point: As organizations become more complex and the need for adaptability increases,
        leaders will need to adopt lessons from natures complex systems (such as the
        critical role of variation and imperfections), which, in many cases, suggest
        non-traditional approaches to leadership and organization building. 
          | 
       
      
        
          "It seems that the things we
            find most interesting in the universe are all dwelling near the web end...The class of
            systems to which all of the above belong is variously called: networks, complex adaptive
            systems, swarm systems, vivisystems, or collective systems. Organizationally, each of
            these is a collection of many (thousands) of autonomous members. "Autonomous"
            means that each member reacts individually according to internal rules and the state of
            its local environment. This is opposed to obeying orders from a center, or reacting in
            lock step to the overall environment. These autonomous members are highly connected to
            each other, but not to a central hub. They thus form a peer network. Since there is no
            center of control, the management and heart of the system are said to be decentrally
            distributed within the system, as a hive is administered. ...One theme of his book is that
            distributed artificial vivisystems...provide people with some of the attractions of
            organic systems, but also some of the drawbacks." P. 21-22 
           
         
        
          Benefits of swarm systems -
            adaptable, evolvable, resilient, boundless. p. 22-23 
           
         
        
          Disadvantages of swarm systems -
            non-optimal, non-controllable, non-predictable, non-understandable, non-immediate. p.
            23-24 
           
         
        
          "As our inventions shift
            from the linear, predictable, causal attributes of the mechanical motor, to the
            crisscrossing, unpredictable, and fuzzy attributes of living systems, we need to shift our
            sense of what we expect from our machines (or organizations, my note). p. 24 
           
         
        
          A simple rule of thumb may help:
            For jobs where supreme control is demanded, good old clockware is the way to go. Where
            supreme adaptability is required, out-of-control swarmware is what you want." p. 24 
           
         
        
          "The inefficiencies of a
            network - all that redundancy and ricocheting vectors, things going from here to there and
            back just to get across the street - encompassing imperfection rather than rejecting it. A
            network nurtures small failures in order that large failures dont happen as often.
            It is its capacity to hold error rather than scuttle it that makes the distributed being
            fertile ground for learning, adaptation, and evolution." p. 26 
             
             
           
         
         | 
       
      
        Machines
        with an Attitude 
         | 
       
      
        Key Point:
        Complex systems (like organizations) need to be built up incrementally from simple systems
        which work.  | 
       
     
    
      
        
          "When something works,
            dont mess with it; build on top of it." p. 39 
           
          "A brain and body are made
            up the same way. From the bottom up. Instead of towns, you begin with simple behavior -
            instincts and reflexes. You make a little circuit that does a simple job, and you get a
            lot of them going. Then you overlay a secondary level of complex behavior that can emerge
            out of that bunch of working reflexes. The original level keeps working whether of not the
            second layer work or not. But when the second layer manages to produce more complex
            behavior, it subsumes the action of the layer below it. Here is the generic recipe for
            distributed control...It can be applied to most creations: 1. Do simple things first. 2.
            Learn to do them flawlessly. 3. Add new layers of activity over the results of the simple
            task. 4. Dont change the simple things. 5. Make the new layer work as flawlessly as
            the simple. 6. Repeat, ad infinitum. This script could also be called a recipe for
            managing complexity of any type, for that is what it is." p. 41 
           
         
        
          "In the human management of
            distributed control, hierarchies of a certain type will proliferate rather than
            diminish...While authoritarian "top-down" hierarchies will retreat, no
            distributed system can survive for long without nested hierarchies of lateral
            "bottom-up" control. As influence flows peer to peer, it coheres into a chunk- a
            whole organelle - which then becomes the bottom unit in a larger web of slower actions.
            Over time a multi-level organization forms around the percolating-up control: fast at the
            bottom, slow at the top. The second important aspect of generic distributed control is
            that the chunking of control must be done incrementally from the bottom. It is impossible
            to take a complex problem and rationally unravel the mess into logical interacting pieces.
            Such well-intentioned efforts inevitably fail." p. 45 
           
         
        
          "The law is concise:
            Distributed control has to be grown from simple local control. Complexity must be grown
            from simple systems that already work." p. 46 
             
             
           
          
         
         | 
       
      
        | Co-evolution | 
       
      
        Key Point:
        Suggests that co-evolution, collaboration among organizations is a better strategy for
        insuring long-term survivability and stability than competition.  | 
       
      
        
          "Heres the news: half
            of the living world is codependent!...The surge of alliance-making in the 1990s among
            large corporations...is another facet of an increasing, co-evolutionary economic world.
            Rather than eat or compete with a competitor, the two form an alliance - a
            symbiosis." p. 75 
           
         
        "Paul Ehrlich sees
            co-evolution pushing two competitors into "obligate cooperation." He wrote,
            " Its against the interests of either predator or prey to eliminate the
            enemy" That is clearly irrational, yet that is clearly a force that drives
            nature." p. 76 
          
        
        
          "Every complex adaptive
            organization faces a fundamental tradeoff. A creature must balance perfecting a skill of
            trait (building up legs to run faster) against experimenting with new traits (wings). It
            can never do all things at once. This daily dilemma is labeled the tradeoff between
            exploration and exploitation." p. 87 
           
         
        
          "It turns out that no matter
            what clever strategy you engineer or evolve in a world laced by chameleon-on-a-mirror
            loops, if it is applied as a perfectly pure rule that you obey absolutely, it will not be
            evolutionary resilient to competing strategies. That is, a competing strategy will figure
            out how to exploit your rule in the long run. A little touch of randomness (mistakes,
            imperfections), on the other hand, actually creates long-term stability in co-evolutionary
            worlds by allowing some strategies to prevail for relative eons by not being so easily
            aped." p.89 
           
         
         | 
       
     
    
      
        
          "The highly connected loops
            of co-evolutionary conflict mean the whole can reward (or at times cripple) all members.
            Axelrod told me, "One of the earliest and most important insights from game theory
            was that nonzero-sum games had very different strategic implications than zero-sum games.
            In zero-sum games whatever hurts the other guy is good for you. In non-zero-sum games you
            can both do well, or both do poorly."" p. 89 
           
          "Perhaps the most useful
            lesson of co-evolution for "wannabe" gods is that in co-evolutionary worlds
            control and secrecy are counterproductive. You cant control, and revelation works
            better than concealment. "In zero-sum games you always try to hide your
            strategy," says Axelrod. "But in non-zero-sum games you might want to announce
            your strategy in public so the other players need to adapt to it."" p. 90 
           
          "In the Network Era - that
            age we have just entered - dense communications is creating artificial worlds ripe for
            emergent co-evolution, spontaneous self-organization, and win-win cooperation. In this
            Era, openness wins, central control is lost, and stability is a state of perpetual
            almost-falling ensured by constant error." p. 90 
             
             
           
         
         | 
       
      
        | Network
        Economics | 
       
      
        Key Point:
        Provides guidance to organizations from natures complex systems: distributed;
        decentralized; collaborative; adaptive.  | 
       
      
        
          "The challenge is simply
            stated: Extend the companys internal networks outward to include all those with whom
            the company interacts in the marketplace. Spin a grand web to include employees,
            suppliers, regulators, and customers, they; they all become part of your companys
            collective being. They are the company." p. 188 
           
         
        
          "One can imagine the future
            shape of companies by stretching them until they are pure network. a company that was pure
            network would have the following traits: distributed, decentralized, collaborative, and
            adaptive. p. 189 
           
         
        
          "Distributed - There
            is not single location of the business. It dwells among many place concurrently." p.
            189 
           
         
        
          "Decentralized - Now,
            when the economy shifts daily, owning the whole chain of production is a liability....In
            short, networks make outsourcing feasible, profitable, and competitive." p. 191 
           
         
        
          "Collaborative -
            Networking internal jobs can make so much economic sense that sometimes vital functions
            are outsourced to competitors, to mutual benefit. Enterprises may be collaborators on one
            undertaking and competitors on another, at the same time....The metaphor for corporations
            is shifting from the tightly coupled, tightly bounded organism to the loosely coupled,
            loosely bounded ecosystem." p. 193 
           
         
        
          
          "Adaptive -   "DESPITE
            MY SUNNY FORECAST for the network economy, there is much about it that is worrisome. These
            are the same concerns that accompany other large decentralized, self-making systems: *You
            cant understand them. *You have less control. *They dont optimize well."
            p. 194 
             
            
          
          
         
         | 
       
     
    
      
        | Artificial
        Evolution | 
       
      
        Key Points: Learn
        and follow the principles of evolution, like punctuated equilibrium, instead of trying to
        engineer the development of complex organizations.  | 
       
      
        
          "To scientists, the most
            exhilarating news to come out of Rays artificial evolution machine is that his small
            worlds display what seems to be punctuated equilibrium. For relatively long periods of
            time, the ratio of populations remain in a steady tango of give and take with only the
            occasional extinction or birth of a new species. Then, in a relative blink, this
            equilibrium is punctuated by a rapid burst of rolling change with many newcomers and
            eclipsing of the old. For a short period change is rampant. Then things sort out and
            stasis and equilibrium reigns again. The current interpretation of fossil evidence on
            Earth is that this pattern predominates in nature. Stasis is the norm; change occurs in
            bouts." p. 289 
           
         
        
          "There are only two ways we
            know of to make extremely complicated things," says Hillis. "One is by
            engineering, and the other is evolution. And of the two, evolution will make the more
            complex." p. 295 
           
         
        
          "Little dumb creatures in
            parallel that can "write" better software than humans can suggests to Ray a
            solution for our desire for parallel software....When it comes to distributed network
            kinds of things, Ray says, "Evolution is the natural way to program." The
            natural way to program! Thats an ego-deflating lesson. Humans should stick to what
            they do best: small, elegant, minimal systems that are fast and deep. Let natural
            evolution (artificially injected) do the messy big work." p. 308 
           
         
        
          "The trouble of evolution is
            not entirely out of our control; surrendering some control is simply a tradeoff we make
            when we employ it. The things we are proud of in engineering - precision, predictability,
            exactness, and correctness - are diluted when evolution is introduced. These have to be
            diluted because survivability in a world of accidents, unforeseen circumstances, shifting
            environments - in short, the real world - demands a fuzzier, looser, more adaptable, less
            precise stance. Life is not controlled. Vivisystems are not predictable. Living creatures
            are not exact." p. 310 
           
         
        
          "Give up control, and
            well artificially evolve new worlds and undreamed-of richness. Let go, and it will
            blossom." p. 311 
             
             
           
         
         | 
       
     
    
      
        | The
        Structure of Organized Change | 
       
      
        Key
        Point:  The powerful link between learning and successful evolution is stressed.  | 
       
      
        
          "Despite the confusion about
            the word "evolution," our strongest terms of change are rooted in the organic:
            grow, develop, mutate, learn, metamorphose, adapt. Nature is the realm of ordered change.
            p. 353 
           
         
        
          "Only in the last couple of
            years has the exhilarating link between learning, behavior, adaptation, and evolution even
            begun to be investigated...A number of researchers...have shown clearly and unequivocally
            how a population of organisms that are learning - that is, exploring their fitness
            possibilities by changing behavior - evolve faster than a population that are not
            learning." p. 358 
             
             
           
         
         | 
       
      
        | Post-Darwinism | 
       
      
        Key Point: Complex
        systems have the power to large scale change through large, rather than incremental
        shifts.  | 
       
      
        
          "As the French evolutionist
            Pierre Grasse said, "Variation is one thing, evolution quite another; this cannot be
            emphasized strongly enough...Mutations provide change, but not progress." So while
            natural selection may be responsible for microchange - a trend in variations - no one can
            say indisputably that it is responsible for macrochange - an open-ended creation of an
            unexpected novel form and progress toward increasing complexity." p. 370 
           
         
        
          "But intriguing suspicions
            now accumulating in the study of complex systems, particularly complex systems that adapt,
            learn, and evolve, suggest Darwin was wrong in his most revolutionary premise. Life is
            largely clumped into parcels and only mildly plastic. Species either persist of die. They
            transmute into something else under only the most mysterious and uncertain conditions. By
            and large, complex things fall into categories and the categories persist. Human
            institutions clumps - churches, departments, companies - find it easier to grow than to
            evolve. 
           
         
        
          "Required to adapt too far
            from their origins, most institutions will die. "Organic" entities are not
            infinitely malleable because complex systems cannot easily be gradually modified in a
            sequence of functional intermediates. A complex system is severely limited in the
            directions and ways it can evolve, because it is a hierarchy composed entirely of
            sub-entities, which are also limited in their room for adaptation because they are
            composed of sub-sub-entities, and so on down the tower. It should be no surprise, then, to
            find that evolution works in quantum steps. The given constituents of an organism can
            collectively make this or that, but not everything is between this and that. The
            hierarchical nature of the whole prevents it from reaching all the possible states it
            might theoretically hit. At the same time, the hierarchical arrangement of the whole gives
            it power to make some large-scale shifts." p. 381-382 
             
             
           
         
         | 
       
     
    
      
        | The
        Butterfly Sleeps | 
       
      
        Key Point:
        There is a desired number of connections among components of a system. This helps an
        organization live on the edge between chaos and stability and thus insure its
        survivability.  | 
       
      
        
          "Deep down Kauffman felt
            that his systems built themselves. In some way he hoped to discover, evolutionary systems
            controlled their own structure. From the first glimpse of his visionary network image, he
            had a hunch that in those connections lay the answer to evolutions
            self-governance." p. 398 
           
         
        
          "As Kauffman increased the
            average number of links between nodes, the system became more resilient, "bouncing
            back" when perturbed. The system could maintain stability while the environment
            changed. It would evolve. The completely unexpected finding was that beyond certain level
            of linking density, continued connectivity would only decrease the adaptability of the
            system as a whole....In the long run, an overly linked system was as debilitating as a mob
            of uncoordinated loners" p. 399 
           
         
        
          "At the ideal number of
            connections, the ideal amount of information flowed between agents, and the system as a
            whole found the optimal solutions consistently. If their environment was changing rapidly,
            this meant that the network remained stable - persisting as a whole over time." p.
            400 
           
         
        
          "He (Langton) says that
            systems that are most adaptive are so loose they are a hairsbreadth away from being out of
            control. Life, then, is a system that is neither stagnant with non-communication nor
            grid-locked with too much communication. Rather life is a vivsystem tuned "to the
            edge of chaos" - that lambda point where there is just enough information flow to
            make everything dangerous." p. 402 
           
         
        
          "Self-tuning may be the
            mysterious key to evolution that doesnt stop - the holy grail of open-ended
            evolution. Chris Langton formally describes open-ended evolution as a system that succeeds
            in ceaselessly self-tuning itself to higher and higher level of complexity, or in his
            imagery, a system that succeeds in gaining control over more and more parameters affecting
            its evolvability and staying balanced on the edge." p. 403  
             
             
           
         
         | 
       
      
        | Rising Flow | 
       
      
        Key Point:
        Makes the case for growth as a natural law and presents seven trends underlying this
        organic evolution.  | 
       
      
        
          "The search for a Second Law
            of Biology, a law of rising order, is unconsciously behind much of the search for deeper
            evaluations and the quest for hyperlife." p. 405 
           
         
        
          "The order accumulated by
            the rising wave serves as a plank to extend itself, using energy from outside, into the
            next realm of further order. As long a Carnots force flows downhill and cools the
            universe, the rising flow can steal heat to flow uphill in places, building itself high by
            pulling on its bootstraps." p. 405 
           
         
        
          "Caveats aside, I discern
            about seven large trends or directions emerging from the ceaseless, hourly toil of organic
            evolution. These trends, as far as anyone can tell, are also the seven trends that will
            bias artificial evolution when it goes marathon; they may be said to be the Trends of
            Hyper-evolution: Irreversibility, Increasing Complexity, Increasing Diversity, Increasing
            Number of Individuals, Increasing Specialization, Increasing Codependency, Increasing
            Evolvability." p. 412  
           
          "Evolution is a
            conglomeration of many processes which form a society of evolutions. As evolution has
            evolved over time, evolution itself has increased in diversity and complexity and
            evolvability." p. 417 
             
             
           
         
         | 
       
      
        | Prediction
        Machinery | 
       
      
        Key Point:
        Despite the complexity of systems, certain types of prediction are possible. This, along
        with organizational flexibility achieved though decentralization and redundancy, foster
        successful adaptation..  | 
       
      
        
          "....prediction is a form of
            control. It is a type of control particularly suited to distributed systems. By
            anticipating the future, a vivisystem can shift its stance to preadapt to it, and in this
            way control its destiny. John Holland says, "Anticipation is what complex adaptive
            systems do."" p. 420 
           
         
        
          "...the character of chaos
            carries both good news and bad news. The bad news is that very little, if anything, is
            predicable far into the future. The good news - the flip side of chaos - is that in the
            short term, more may be more predictable than it first seems...."There is order is
            chaos."" p. 424 
           
         
        
          "The short answer is that
            tiny errors (caused by limited information) compound into grievous errors when extended
            very far into the future." p. 426 
           
         
        
          "Most of the time most of a
            complex system may not be forecastable, but some small part of it may be for short
            times." p. 428 
           
         
        
          "...the work of Theodore
            Modis, whose 1992 book, Predictions, nicely sums up the case for utility and
            believability of predictions. Modis addresses three types of found order in the greater
            web of human interactions. Each variety forms a pocket of predictability at certain times. 
           
         
        
          Invariants. The natural
            and unconscious tendency for all organisms to optimize their behavior instills in that
            behavior "invariants" that change very little over time... 
           
         
        
          
          Growth Curve.
            Growing things share several universal characteristics. Among them are a lifespan that can
            be plotted as an S-shaped curve: slow birth, steep growth, slow decline..."What is
            hidden under the graceful shape of the S-curve is that fact that natural growth obeys a
            strict law." This law says that the shape of the ending is symmetrical to the shape
            of the beginning... 
          
          
         
        
          Cyclic Waves. According
            to Modis, cyclic phenomenon in nature can infuse a cyclic flavor to systems running within
            it." p. 436-437 
           
         
        
          - "Together, these three modes of prediction
            suggests that at certain moments of heightened visibility, the invisible pattern of order
            becomes clear to those paying attention." p. 437
 
         
        
          "...we know that feedback
            loops alone are insufficient to breed the behaviors of the vivissystems we find most
            interesting. There are two additional types of complexity (there may be others) the
            researchers in this book have found necessary in order to give birth to a full spectrum of
            vivisystem character: distributed being and open-ended evolution..." p. 448 
           
         
        
          "The key insight uncovered
            by the study of complex systems in recent years is this: the only way for a system to
            evolve into something new is to have a flexible structure...This is why distributed being
            is so important to learning and evolving systems. A decentralized, redundant organization
            can flex without distorting its function, and this it can adapt. It can manage change. We
            call that growth. Direct feedback models...can achieve stabilization - one attribute of
            living systems - but they cant learn, grow, diversity - three essential complexities
            for a model of changing culture or life." p. 448 
           
          "But we cannot import
            evolution and learning without exporting control." p. 448 
             
             
           
         
         | 
       
      
        | The Nine
        Laws of God | 
       
      
        Key Point:
        Summarizes principle ideas from the book which apply to the creation of complex
        organizations.  | 
       
      
        
          "Out of nothing, nature
            makes something....How do you make something from nothing? Although nature knows this
            trick, we havent learned much just by watching her. We have learned more by our
            failures in creating complexity and by combining these lessons with small successes in
            imitating and understanding natural systems. So from the frontiers of computer science,
            and the edges of biological research, and the odd corners of interdisciplinary
            experimentation, I have compiled The Nine Laws of God governing the incubation of
            somethings from nothing...These nine laws are the organizing principles that can be found
            operating in systems as diverse as biological evolution and SimCity. 
           
         
        
          Distribute being. The
            spirit of a beehive, the behavior of an economy, the thinking of a supercomputer, and the
            life in me are distributed over a multitude of smaller units (which themselves may be
            distributed). When the sum of the parts can add up to more than the parts, then that extra
            being (that something from nothing) is distributed among the parts...All the mysteries we
            find most interesting - life, intelligence, evolution - are found in the soil of large
            distributed systems. 
           
         
        
          Control from the bottom up.
            When everything is connected to everything in a distributed network, everything happens at
            once. When everything happens at once, wide and fast moving problems simply route around
            any central authority. Therefore overall governance must arise from the most humble
            interdependent acts done locally in parallel, and not from a central command... 
           
         
        
          Cultivate increasing returns.
            Each time you use an idea, a language, or a skill you strengthen it, reinforce it, and
            make it more likely to be used again...Anything which alters its environment to increase
            production of itself is playing the game of increasing returns. And all large, sustaining
            systems play at the game...Life on Earth alters Earth to beget more life...  
           
         
        
          Grow by chunking. The only
            way to make a complex system that works is to begin with a simple system that works.
            Attempts to instantly install highly complex organization...without growing it, inevitably
            lead to failure... Complexity is created then, by assembling it incrementally from simple
            modules that can operate independently. 
           
         
        
          Maximize the fringes. In
            heterogeneity is creation of the world. A uniform entity must adapt to the world by
            occasional earth-shattering revolutions, one of which is sure to kill it. A diverse
            heterogeneous entity, on the other hand, can adapt to the world in a thousand daily
            mini-revolutions, staying in a state of permanent, but never fatal churning. Diversity
            favors borders, the outskirts, hidden corners, moments of chaos, and isolated clusters. In
            economic, ecological, evolutionary, and institutional models, a healthy fringe speeds
            adaptation, increases resilience, and is almost always the source of innovations.  
           
         
        
          Pursue no optima; have
            multiple goals. Simple machines can be efficient, but complex adaptive machinery
            cannot be...Rather than strive for optimization of any function, a large system can only
            survive by "satisficing" (making "good enough") a multitude of
            functions. For instance, an adaptive system must trade off between exploiting a known path
            of success (optimizing a current strategy), or diverting resources to exploring new paths
            (thereby wasting energy trying less efficient methods)....forget elegance; if it works,
            its beautiful. 
           
         
         | 
       
     
    
      
        
          Seek persistent disequilibrium.
            Neither consistent nor relentless change will support a creation. A good creation, like
            good jazz, must balance the stable formula with frequent out-of-kilter notes... A
            Something is persistent disequilibrium - a continuous state of surfing forever on the edge
            between never stopping but never falling.... 
           
         
        
          Change change itself. When
            extremely large systems are built up out of complicated systems, then each system begins
            to influence and ultimately change the organization of other systems." p. 468-471 
             
             
           
         
         | 
       
     
     |